Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Leeds vs Newcastle

Leeds host Newcastle in this Premier League encounter at Elland Road, with kick-off set for 00:30 on Sunday 31 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Whites to Give Magpies a Hard Time

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Leeds +0.25 at 2.00 against Newcastle. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

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2-2 Draw in Last H2H Clash

Leeds United began the season positively with a home win over Everton but were brought back down to earth in their second league outing, suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat away to Arsenal. Daniel Farke’s side struggled to gain a foothold at the Emirates, seeing only 32% of the ball and managing just one effort on target.

Four days ago, Leeds were beaten on penalties (1-1 after 90 mins) away to Sheffield Wednesday in the EFL Cup.

Newcastle United battled bravely in their previous Premier League match but slipped to a 3-2 defeat at home against Liverpool, conceding the decisive goal in stoppage time. Anthony Gordon’s dismissal shortly before the break left the Magpies with ten men, yet they continued to compete and found goals through Bruno Guimarães and William Osula. Despite seeing only 37% of the ball and having three shots on target, Newcastle made the defending champions work hard for the points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle have not lost to Leeds in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Elland Road. The previous 6 H2H meetings have featured three draws, two wins for Leeds and just one for Newcastle.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Leeds	3	1	1	1	1	5	-4	1:5	4
17	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2:3	2

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Leeds have had 59.7% possession and 5.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts, while being awarded 2.2 corners.

Top scorers Wilfried Gnonto and Joel Piroe have found the net 4 times, with Manor Solomon getting 3. Manor Solomon has the most assists with 5, while goalkeeper Lucas Perri has one clean sheet.

Newcastle have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 14.8 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. The Tyneside side average 54.5% possession, 438.2 passes, 6.8 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Bruno Guimaraes, Alexander Isak and Harvey Barnes are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while William Osula is on 2. Jacob Murphy and Kieran Trippier have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Nick Pope has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Leeds confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Sean Longstaff, Ilia Gruev, Anton Stach, Daniel James, Lukas Nmecha, Wilfried Gnonto.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Nick Pope (GK), Fabian Schaer, Sven Botman, Daniel Burn, Kieran Trippier, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Murphy, William Osula.

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Leeds vs Newcastle betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

When Leeds line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at 2.00 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Premier League stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Leeds vs Newcastle league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Leeds in 2 consecutive games against Newcastle.

Leeds +0.25 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 50% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Leeds, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Leeds 2 - 1 Newcastle

Leeds are available at 10.00 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Leeds Over 4.5 Corners

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Leeds in five straight home games, while Newcastle have let the opposition have an average of 6.60 corners in their last 5 away matches. Leeds should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of 1.83 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leeds

Total

7.90 5.70 2.20

Home

10.30 7.90 2.40

Away

8.70 5.70 3.00

Newcastle

Total

10.90 6.80 4.10

Home

10.90 6.50 4.40

Away

11.30 5.40 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Leeds Corners

Newcastle Corners

Most Corners

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Leeds vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Newcastle Made Favourites by the Bookies

The bookmakers have Newcastle United at 2.25 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 44% chance of winning this Premier League clash based on the betting odds. Leeds United are the outsiders at 3.40 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Newcastle are 1.57 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Leeds are 2.28 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at 1.76.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Premier League match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Anthony Gordon is the First Goalscorer Favourite

You will find favourite Anthony Gordon at 5.50 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get 2.95 that he finds the net any time.

Can Leeds Continue Unbeaten Home Streak?

Leeds have not lost at Elland Road in the past eight matches. The Whites have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Newcastle have not won in the past four away matches. Eddie Howe's team have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

It was a 2-2 draw when Leeds last played Newcastle at Elland Road. The previous 3 H2H matches at Elland Road have seen Leeds winning once, one draw and a victory for Newcastle.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Leeds Home Stats		7-2-1	3.40	2.70	0.70	6	4	4	6
Newcastle Away Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.10	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Leeds vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

The latest Leeds vs Newcastle team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premier League, along with current injury news.

Leeds United Team Page Newcastle United Team Page