New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction, Lineups & Odds | MLS, 03 Jul 2025

Get With TFC to Battle Hard

We’re siding with Toronto on the Asian Handicap +1 at 1.78, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against New York City. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

City Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

New York City FC suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Saputo Stadium against CF Montréal. Pascal Jansen's team dominated possession with 68% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.

Toronto FC have made it back-to-back MLS away victories. In their previous league match, it was a 3-0 home win over Portland Timbers at BMO Field. The Ontario club had 43% possession and managed six shots on goal, while Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer and Ian Smith (own goal) were all on target.

City have enjoyed four straight wins against Toronto. In the last clash, away side City landed a 1-0 victory at BMO Field. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six City wins, two draws and two Toronto successes.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	NYCFC	19	8	4	7	24	21	3	24:21	28
26	Toronto FC	19	4	5	10	22	25	-3	22:25	17

View Full Table

City have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Pigeons have averaged 54.9% possession and 6.3 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 5.4 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Hannes Wolf leads the way with 5 goals, Alonso Martinez has 3, with Maxi Moralez and Monsef Bakrar scoring 2. Justin Haak is the top assists maker on 3.

TFC have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.8% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Theodor Corbeanu has scored 3, followed by Tyrese Spicer, Ola Brynhildsen and Federico Bernardeschi with 2 goals apiece. Ola Brynhildsen and Deybi Flores have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Tomás Romero (GK), Strahinja Tanasijevic, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Birk Risa, Julián Fernández, Andrés Perea, Maxi Moralez, Agustin Ojeda, Monsef Bakrar, Hannes Wolf.

Toronto FC predicted lineup (3-5-2): Sean Johnson (GK), Kevin Long, Sigurd Rosted, Raoul Petretta, Kosi Thompson, Alonso Coello Camarero, Maxime Dominguez, Matthew Longstaff, Tyrese Spicer, Theo Corbeanu, Ola Brynhildsen.

Expert MLS Analysis

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key New York City vs Toronto FC league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 9 of their last 10 games against TFC.

New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction

Toronto +1 looks to be a sensible play on the Asian Handicap. You can get a price of 1.78 that the visitors prosper from having a one-goal advantage and we anticipate a competitive MLS clash.

Those searching for a different wager to betting TFC on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.

TFC +1 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Toronto Asian Hcp +1 @ 1.78 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New York City 1 - 1 Toronto

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of 7.00 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Props

Ola Brynhildsen Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.80

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC) can be wagered at 1.80 to record one or more shots on goal. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Ola Brynhildsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

4.20

First

8.50

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

1.79

Under 0.5

1.71

Shots

Over 1.5

1.60

Under 1.5

-

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Theo Corbeanu to Score 5.25

Theo Corbeanu (TFC) has racked up three goals in his past four MLS matches on the road. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of 5.25.

Latest Theo Corbeanu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

5.20

First

11.00

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

2.28

Under 0.5

1.42

Shots

Over 1.5

1.95

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners 1.68

All of the past ten New York City home matches has seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with four consecutive Toronto games having the same outcome. The stats imply that it’s worth selecting Over for Total Corners, with 1.68 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

11.70 6.30 5.40

Home

12.70 6.70 6.00

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Toronto

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

9.60 4.00 5.60

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

1.68

Under 9.5

2.02

New York City Corners

Over 5.5

1.77

Under 5.5

1.92

Toronto Corners

Over 3.5

1.66

Under 3.5

2.06

Most Corners

1

1.49

X

7.00

2

2.90

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New York City vs Toronto FC Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have City as Favourites

The bookies have New York City FC at 1.58 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 63% likely to win this MLS encounter according to the latest betting odds. Toronto FC are the outsiders at 5.30 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then City are 2.17 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Toronto are 5.00 and the draw is priced at 2.35.

The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Over and Under 2.5 Goals are trading at a similar price. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at 1.82 and No at 1.89.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every MLS game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

1.58

X

4.10

2

5.30

Half-Time Result

1

2.17

X

2.35

2

5.00

Double Chance

1X

1.16

12

1.24

X2

2.28

Draw No Bet

1

1.24

2

3.70

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

1.78

2 Hcp +0.75

2.02

Total Goals

Under 2.5

2.00

Over 2.5

1.80

Both Teams to Score

Yes

1.82

No

1.89

Alonso Martínez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Those interested in favourite Alonso Martínez to find the net first can get 4.10, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is 2.12.

Player Goals

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

4.10

Anytime

2.12

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

5.80

Anytime

3.00

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

First

6.50

Anytime

3.55

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

7.00

Anytime

3.60

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

6.50

Anytime

3.65

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

First

8.50

Anytime

4.20

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

First

10.50

Anytime

4.90

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

First

11.00

Anytime

5.20

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

14.00

Anytime

6.75

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

First

14.00

Anytime

7.00

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

15.00

Anytime

7.00

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

15.00

Anytime

7.50

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

First

16.00

Anytime

7.50

Strahinja Tanasijevic (NYCFC)

First

21.00

Anytime

10.00

Jonathan Shore (NYCFC)

First

23.00

Anytime

11.50

Player Shots On Target

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

1.96

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 0.5

1.79

Under 0.5

1.71

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.80

Under 0.5

1.70

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.82

Under 0.5

1.68

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.82

Under 0.5

1.68

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

2.04

Under 1.5

1.53

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 0.5

2.28

Under 0.5

1.42

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

Over 0.5

2.45

Under 0.5

1.38

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

Over 0.5

2.90

Under 0.5

1.26

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

Over 0.5

3.10

Under 0.5

1.22

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

3.20

Under 0.5

1.21

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

3.55

Under 0.5

1.16

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

3.55

Under 0.5

1.17

Player Shots

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 3.5

1.70

Under 3.5

-

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 2.5

2.08

Under 2.5

-

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

1.66

Under 1.5

-

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

1.63

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

1.67

Under 1.5

-

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 1.5

1.60

Under 1.5

-

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

Over 1.5

2.07

Under 1.5

-

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 1.5

1.95

Under 1.5

-

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

-

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

Over 0.5

1.57

Under 0.5

-

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.84

Under 0.5

-

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

1.70

Under 0.5

-

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

Over 0.5

1.41

Under 0.5

-

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Team Stats

Team News

You’ve found the right place for City vs Toronto team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the MLS squads so that you know every player on the roster.

New York City Team Page Toronto FC Team Page

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