New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jul 2025

Get With TFC to Battle Hard

We’re siding with Toronto on the Asian Handicap +1 at 1.78, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against New York City. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

City Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

New York City FC suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Saputo Stadium against CF Montréal. Pascal Jansen's team dominated possession with 68% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.

Toronto FC have made it back-to-back MLS away victories. In their previous league match, it was a 3-0 home win over Portland Timbers at BMO Field. The Ontario club had 43% possession and managed six shots on goal, while Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer and Ian Smith (own goal) were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have enjoyed four straight wins against Toronto. In the last clash, away side City landed a 1-0 victory at BMO Field. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in six City wins, two draws and two Toronto successes.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	NYCFC	28	14	5	9	41	33	8	41:33	47
25	Toronto FC	29	5	11	13	29	36	-7	29:36	26

View Full Table

City have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Pigeons have averaged 54.9% possession and 6.3 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 5.4 corners from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Hannes Wolf leads the way with 5 goals, Alonso Martinez has 3, with Maxi Moralez and Monsef Bakrar scoring 2. Justin Haak is the top assists maker on 3.

TFC have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.8% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Theodor Corbeanu has scored 3, followed by Tyrese Spicer, Ola Brynhildsen and Federico Bernardeschi with 2 goals apiece. Ola Brynhildsen and Deybi Flores have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tomas Romero (GK), Mitja Ilenic, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Birk Risa, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Andres Perea, Agustin Ojeda, Alonso Martinez, Hannes Wolf.

Toronto FC confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Sean Johnson (GK), Kevin Long, Sigurd Rosted, Raoul Petretta, Kosi Thompson, Matthew Longstaff, Maxime Dominguez, Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer, Theodor Corbeanu, Ola Brynhildsen.

New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Toronto +1 looks to be a sensible play on the Asian Handicap. You can get a price of 1.78 that the visitors prosper from having a one-goal advantage and we anticipate a competitive MLS clash.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key New York City vs Toronto FC league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by TFC in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by NYCFC in 9 of their last 10 games against TFC.

TFC +1 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Those searching for a different wager to betting TFC on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.

Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

New York City 1 - 1 Toronto

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of 7.00 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners

All of the past ten New York City home matches has seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with four consecutive Toronto games having the same outcome. The stats imply that it’s worth selecting Over for Total Corners, with 1.68 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

New York City

Total

11.70 6.30 5.40

Home

12.70 6.70 6.00

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Toronto

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

9.60 4.00 5.60

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

New York City Corners

Toronto Corners

Most Corners

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New York City vs Toronto FC Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have City as Favourites

The bookies have New York City FC at 1.56 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 64% likely to win this MLS encounter according to the latest betting odds. Toronto FC are the outsiders at 5.40 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then City are 2.08 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Toronto are 5.00 and the draw is priced at 2.48.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at 1.68.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every MLS game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Alonso Martínez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Those interested in favourite Alonso Martínez to find the net first can get 4.10, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is 2.02.

Previous Ten City Home Games Have Led to Five Wins

City have clocked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Toronto have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. The Ontario club have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

City beat Toronto 2-1 when they last met at Yankee Stadium. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Yankee Stadium have seen two draws along with a win for City and a victory for Toronto.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
New York City Home Stats		5-1-4	3.50	1.80	1.70	8	2	7	3
Toronto FC Away Stats		3-3-4	3.00	1.50	1.50	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

New York City vs Toronto FC Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for City vs Toronto team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the MLS squads so that you know every player on the roster.

New York City Team Page Toronto FC Team Page