Arizona State Sun Devils
American Football NCAAF Davis Wade Stadium Sun 7 Sep 07:30
Mississippi State Bulldogs
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State vs Mississippi State

Arizona State face off against Mississippi State in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Davis Wade Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 07:30 on Sunday 7 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Arizona State Cover the Spread?

We are confident that Arizona State will cover the spread. -6.5 seems a more than generous betting line and you can get 1.91 that they will win by a bigger margin in their clash against Mississippi State.

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30-23 Victory for Arizona State in Pair’s Last Head-to-Head

Arizona State Sun Devils claimed a victory in their previous game. A 38-19 home win occurred against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Mountain America Stadium.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won last time out by a 34-17 scoreline. It was on the road against Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at M.M. Roberts Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arizona State beat Mississippi State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 30-23 scoreline at Mountain America Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Sam Leavitt
Blake Shapen

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Arizona State vs Mississippi State tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re bullish about Arizona State on the spread at -6.5.5. The market leaders should be able to claim a victory by a comfortable margin in this college football matchup and you can get 1.91.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Arizona State vs Mississippi State stats:

  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 3 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 8 of their last 10 games.
  • The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Arizona State -6.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the alternative to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Best Bet

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Published 14:26, 05 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Blake Shapen Under 248.5 Passing Yards

You can place a bet on Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) at 1.88 to finish with fewer than 248.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Blake Shapen Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Passing Yards

Anthony Evans III Under 40.5 Receiving Yards

You can back Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State) at 1.88 to finish with fewer than 40.5 receiving yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Anthony Evans III Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Receiving Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Arizona State -6.5
Totals Under 58.5
Passing Yards Blake Shapen Under 248.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Arizona State -6.5 on the spread, combined with Under 58.5 and Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) to go Under 248.5 passing yards.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.

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Correct Score Prediction

Arizona State Arizona State logo 31 - 20 Mississippi State logo Mississippi State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Arizona State to triumph 31-20 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Arizona State Likelier Winners

With a 71% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of 1.41. Mississippi State are the underdogs at 2.98 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 58.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 58.5 can find odds of 1.95 available.

The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.

Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points

Kyson Brown Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Kyson Brown is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at 7.00. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at 1.62.

Touchdown

Kyson Brown (Arizona State)
Jordyn Tyson (Arizona State)
Davon Booth (Mississippi State)
Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

Receiving Yards

Jordyn Tyson (Arizona State)
Brenen Thompson (Mississippi State)
Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State)
Seydou Traore (Mississippi State)

Rushing Yards

Davon Booth (Mississippi State)
Kyson Brown (Arizona State)
Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)
Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State)

Passing Yards

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)
Blake Shapen (Mississippi State)

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Best Betting Offers
Davis Wade Stadium
Davis Wade Stadium

Mississippi State Sitting on Seven Losses in Their Previous Ten at Home

Mississippi State have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 26.60 points on offense and surrendering 30.50 on defense.

Arizona State are riding three straight road wins. They are 5-5 in their last 10 road games, averaging 23.00 points on offense and surrendering 22.50 on defense.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O58.5 U58.5
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Home Stats 3-7 57.10 26.60 30.50 6 4
Arizona State logo Arizona State Away Stats 5-5 45.50 23.00 22.50 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
  • U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arizona State Sun Devils logo Arizona State Sun Devils Stats
Mississippi State Bulldogs logo Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Southeastern W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Arkansas 2 0 108 21 87 2-0 0-0 2W
Auburn 2 0 80 27 53 1-0 1-0 2W
Georgia 2 0 73 13 60 2-0 0-0 2W
LSU 2 0 40 17 23 1-0 1-0 2W
Mississippi State 2 0 58 37 21 1-0 1-0 2W
Missouri 2 0 103 37 66 2-0 0-0 2W
Oklahoma 2 0 59 16 43 2-0 0-0 2W
Ole Miss 2 0 93 30 63 1-0 1-0 2W
South Carolina 2 0 62 21 41 2-0 0-0 2W
Tennessee 2 0 117 43 74 2-0 0-0 2W
Texas A&M 2 0 86 46 40 2-0 0-0 2W
Vanderbilt 2 0 89 23 66 1-0 1-0 2W
Alabama 1 1 90 31 59 1-0 0-1 1W
Florida 1 1 71 18 53 1-1 0-0 1L
Kentucky 1 1 47 46 1 1-1 0-0 1L
Texas 1 1 45 21 24 1-0 0-1 1W