'Full-scale war between India, Pakistan unlikely'

LUCKNOW: Amid growing discussion about the chances of a retaliation by Pakistan after India's Operation Sindoor, noted political commentator and futurist Vimal Singh has said that a full-scale war between the two countries was highly unlikely.“Those expecting a conventional military response from Pakistan are mistaken,” Singh said, adding that while border skirmishes or proxy actions may flare up, a large-scale conflict is highly improbable.He cited Pakistan’s fragile internal stability and shifting global alignments. “China, once Pakistan’s strategic patron, is under economic stress due to Trump tariffs and is now eager to exit costly regional entanglements," Singh observed, adding “Pakistan knows this is not the 20th century. In today’s world, wars are won through perception, economy, and staying in power, not just pride.”Singh also highlighted a crucial psychological shift unfolding in Kashmir. He said that the recent terror attack in Pahalgam that killed 26 civilians triggered outrage — not support. “Even separatist sympathizers are rethinking. Youth and women now view terrorism less as ideology and more as a threat to livelihood,” he said.He also explained the significance of naming of Operation Sindoor. “In Indian tradition, sindoor symbolizes protection of family and home. Naming the strike Operation Sindoor sends a powerful cultural message—India is protecting its own.” He added that vermillion red, associated with strength and warning, signals India’s resolve to draw firm red lines without flinching.Beyond Kashmir, Operation Sindoor would create ripple effects, he said. "In Bengal, people are already grappling with an economic downturn and political fatigue .The state's historic flirtation with disruptive ideologies — from Communism to extreme populism — is losing steam. The average Bengali Muslim, once courted by parties like the TMC and CPM, is reportedly yearning for stability and governance, not identity politics.They want a govt that is stable," he added."Bihar, too, is feeling the tremors. Opposition parties like RJD are facing a strategic dilemma — how to protect their core vote bank without appearing out of step with national security sentiments. Nitish Kumar’s 'fading political act' is entering its final stretch, and the question now is whether RJD can reposition itself without alienating core Muslim voters who themselves are reassessing old loyalties," he said.